Computer disease simulation models: integrating evidence for health policy.
| Year: | 2011 | ||||||
| Type of Publication: | Article | ||||||
| Authors: |
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| Journal: | Acad Radiol | Volume: | 18 | ||||
| Number: | 9 | Pages: | 1077-1086 | ||||
| Month: | September | ||||||
| Abstract: | |||||||
Computer disease simulation models are increasingly being used to
evaluate and inform health care decisions across medical disciplines.
The aim of researchers who develop these models is to integrate and
synthesize short-term outcomes and results from multiple sources
to predict the long-term clinical outcomes and costs of different
health care strategies. Policy makers, in turn, can use the predictions
generated by disease models together with other evidence to make
decisions related to health care practices and resource utilization.
Models are particularly useful when the existing evidence does not
yield obvious answers or does not provide answers to the questions
of greatest interest, such as questions about the relative cost-effectiveness
of different practices. This review focuses on models used to inform
decisions about imaging technology, discussing the role of disease
models for health policy development and providing a foundation for
understanding the basic principles of disease modeling. This manuscript
draws from the collective computed tomographic colonography modeling
experience, reviewing 10 published investigations of the clinical
effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of computed tomographic colonography
relative to colonoscopy. The discussion focuses on implications of
different modeling assumptions and difficulties that may be encountered
when evaluating the quality of models. This underscores the importance
of forging stronger collaborations between researchers who develop
disease models and radiologists, to ensure that policy-level models
accurately represent the experience of everyday clinical practices. |
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