A simulation model of clinical and economic outcomes of cardiac CT triage of patients with acute chest pain in the emergency department.
| Year: | 2011 | ||||||
| Type of Publication: | Article | Keywords: | Chest Pain, radiography; Coronary Angiography, economics; Cost Savings; Costs and Cost Analysis; Echocardiography, Stress, economics; Electrocardiography; Emergency Service, Hospital, economics; Female; Humans; Incidental Findings; Male; Middle Aged | ||||
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| Journal: | AJR Am J Roentgenol | Volume: | 196 | ||||
| Number: | 4 | Pages: | 853-861 | ||||
| Month: | April | ||||||
| Abstract: | |||||||
Uncertainty exists as to whether coronary CT angiography (CTA) compared
with standard of care (SOC) is more effective and efficient in the
triage of low-risk emergency department (ED) patients with acute
chest pain. Our objective was to construct a simulation model to
estimate clinical and economic outcomes.We constructed a microsimulation
model comparing SOC to coronary CTA-based triage of 1000 55-year-old
patients (50% men) with acute chest pain, nonsignificant ECG changes,
and initial negative cardiac markers. In SOC, patients were reevaluated
with serial cardiac markers after 6-8 hours, followed by either nuclear
stress imaging (SPECT) or stress echocardiography. In coronary CTA-based
triage, patients were imaged immediately and, depending on the results,
discharged, held for SPECT or stress echocardiography, or referred
directly to invasive coronary angiography.Compared with SOC, coronary
CTA-based triage reduced the number of patients referred for invasive
coronary angiography from 406 (SPECT) or 370 (stress echocardiography)
to 255 per 1000 and resulted in fewer "missed" cases of acute coronary
syndrome overall (5 vs 18). Coronary CTA-based triage also resulted
in fewer deaths (4 vs 6). Coronary CTA led to immediate discharge
of 706 patients and produced average cost-savings in the ED of $851
(SPECT) or $462 (stress echocardiography) per patient. At 30 days
after initial ED triage, coronary CTA-based management produced average
savings of $283 (SPECT) and average costs of $292 (stress echocardiography)
per patient triaged.Our model suggests that coronary CTA-based triage
of low-risk patients with acute chest pain in the ED might reduce
invasive catheterizations, could improve survival, and may save money. |
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